preston.ortiz
preston.ortiz 3d ago β€’ 0 views

Statistical Parity vs. Equal Opportunity: Which Fairness Metric to Use?

Hey everyone! πŸ‘‹ Trying to wrap my head around fairness metrics in machine learning. Statistical Parity vs. Equal Opportunity...which one should I be using? πŸ€” Help!
πŸ’» Computer Science & Technology

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hamilton.carol47 Dec 31, 2025

πŸ“š Statistical Parity vs. Equal Opportunity: A Deep Dive

In the quest for fairness in machine learning, two prominent metrics emerge: Statistical Parity and Equal Opportunity. Understanding their nuances is crucial for building equitable AI systems. Let's break them down.

πŸ“Š Defining Statistical Parity

Statistical Parity, also known as demographic parity, aims for equal representation in outcomes across different groups. Essentially, it requires that the proportion of individuals receiving a positive prediction should be the same regardless of their group membership (e.g., race, gender).

Mathematically, Statistical Parity is satisfied if:

$P(\hat{Y} = 1 | G = g_1) = P(\hat{Y} = 1 | G = g_2)$ for all groups $g_1$ and $g_2$,

where $\hat{Y}$ is the predicted outcome and $G$ represents the protected group.

  • 🌍 It ensures that the model's predictions do not disproportionately favor one group over another.
  • βš–οΈ It can be a useful starting point for identifying potential bias in a system.
  • ⚠️ Achieving statistical parity doesn't guarantee overall fairness, as it ignores whether the positive predictions are actually correct.

🎯 Defining Equal Opportunity

Equal Opportunity focuses on ensuring that individuals who truly deserve a positive outcome (i.e., those with $Y=1$) have an equal chance of receiving a positive prediction, regardless of their group membership.

Mathematically, Equal Opportunity is satisfied if:

$P(\hat{Y} = 1 | Y = 1, G = g_1) = P(\hat{Y} = 1 | Y = 1, G = g_2)$ for all groups $g_1$ and $g_2$,

where $Y$ is the actual outcome.

  • βœ… It addresses the fairness of positive predictions for those who should legitimately receive them.
  • πŸ”‘ It targets the true positive rate (TPR) and seeks to equalize it across groups.
  • 🧐 It doesn't consider false positives, meaning that one group could still be unfairly burdened with incorrect positive predictions.

πŸ“ Statistical Parity vs. Equal Opportunity: A Side-by-Side Comparison

Feature Statistical Parity Equal Opportunity
Focus Equal proportion of positive predictions across groups Equal true positive rates across groups
Conditional On Group membership only Group membership and true positive status
Mathematical Expression $P(\hat{Y} = 1 | G = g_1) = P(\hat{Y} = 1 | G = g_2)$ $P(\hat{Y} = 1 | Y = 1, G = g_1) = P(\hat{Y} = 1 | Y = 1, G = g_2)$
Potential Issue Ignores whether positive predictions are correct Ignores false positives
Use Case When overall representation is critical When ensuring fair positive outcomes for deserving individuals is paramount

πŸ’‘ Key Takeaways

  • 🎯 Both Statistical Parity and Equal Opportunity are valuable fairness metrics, but they address different aspects of fairness.
  • πŸ§ͺ The choice between them depends on the specific context and the priorities of the application.
  • 🧠 In many cases, a combination of fairness metrics and careful consideration of the potential harms of a system are necessary to achieve truly equitable outcomes.

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